Thursday, 10 January 2008

Bank of England holds rates, cut seen in Feb

(Reuters) - The Bank of England left interest rates unchanged on Thursday, following a week of intense speculation over whether it would cut them for a second month running to shore up economic growth.

The Bank held the main rate at 5.5 percent, having lowered it a quarter percentage point in December.

Still, the pause is likely to be short-lived and the Bank is widely tipped to cut rates again in February, when it publishes new growth and inflation forecasts.

The pound rose after the decision while Britain's index of leading shares .FTSE turned negative with retail stocks taking a sharp knock.

Most economists had predicted a no-change verdict but money markets, spooked by signs of a consumer retrenchment, were pricing in a 60 percent chance of a cut.

"We suspect that the deteriorating growth outlook, particularly for the household sector, was balanced by worries on inflation," said James Knightley at ING Bank.
 

Bear and T.Rowe vie for China fund firm stake

(Reuters) - Wall Street investment bank Bear Stearns (BSC.N: Quote, Profile, Research) is in talks to buy around 10 percent of China's biggest fund house, looking to tap the country's red-hot mutual fund market, two sources with knowledge of the situation told Reuters on Thursday.

China Asset Management Co, wholly-owned by China's top broker CITIC Securities (600030.SS: Quote, Profile, Research), has been talking to several potential foreign investors including Bear Stearns and U.S. fund manager T. Rowe Price Group ( TROW.O: Quote, Profile, Research), said the sources, who have been briefed on the talks.

The talks between China Asset Management and Bear Stearns follow an announcement in October that the U.S. bank, battered by a mortgage market slump, and Beijing-based CITIC Securities would take investment stakes in each other and form a broad strategic alliance.

However, that announcement didn't include the plan to allow Bear Stearns to invest in CITIC Securities' fund arm.

T. Rowe Price approached China Asset Management earlier than Bear Stearns, but the partnership with CITIC Securities would help Bear Stearns secure its tie-up with China Asset Management, though no agreement has been reached, said the two sources.
 

Wal-Mart Beats Estimates; Limited Brands' Sales Fall

(Bloomberg) -- Wal-Mart Stores Inc., the world's largest retailer, said December sales climbed 2.4 percent, higher than analysts' estimates. Limited Brands Inc. cut its fourth-quarter profit forecast after sales declined during what may have been the worst holiday season since 2002.

Women's clothing retailers AnnTaylor Stores Corp., Chico's FAS Inc., and Cato Corp. also projected earnings less than analysts' estimates after December sales at stores open at least a year fell.

A drop in customer visits at American Eagle Outfitters Inc. and other retailers have hurt profit. Consumers facing $3- a-gallon gasoline and the worst housing market in 27 years reined in spending and only bought items on sale. Stores typically count on November and December for about a fifth of their annual sales.

``It's a very challenging period for the retailers,'' Steven Baumgarten, an analyst at PNC Wealth Management in Philadelphia, with $77 billion in assets including retailers' shares, said on Jan. 8. ``The sales numbers obviously don't look that great, and the promotional activity in most cases was above last year, so margins are probably going to suffer.''

The International Council of Shopping Centers on Jan. 8 said same-store sales in November and December probably increased ``a little under'' its 2.5 percent forecast. Same- store sales are considered a key measure of a retailer's performance because they exclude locations that have recently opened or closed.

Food, Drugs

Discounters benefited as cash-strapped consumers sought out lower prices. Wal-Mart's December gains were driven by sales of food, prescription drugs and consumer electronics. The results were within the company's forecast of a 1 percent to 3 percent increase and beat analysts' estimates of a 1.8 percent rise.

Costco Wholesale Corp., the largest U.S. warehouse-club chain, said December sales at stores open at least a year rose 7 percent, exceeding analysts' projections for a 5.5 percent gain. TJX Cos., which sells designer clothes at discounted prices at its Marshalls chain, raised its fourth-quarter forecast.

American Eagle, the U.S. retailer of clothes for 15- to 25-year-olds, fell 6 cents to $17.72 yesterday in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. Limited Brands, based in Columbus, Ohio, dropped 4 cents to $15.69. Wal-Mart, based in Bentonville, Arkansas, climbed 93 cents, or 2 percent, to $46.90.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Retailing Index rose less than 1 percent to 375.15 yesterday. The index has dropped 8.5 percent this year through yesterday following an 18 percent decline in 2007.

Macy's Falls

Macy's Inc., the second-largest department-store company, said sales dropped 7.9 percent, missing analysts' estimate for 6.4 percent fall.

``Macroeconomic trends led customers to spend cautiously for the holiday,'' Chief Executive Officer Terry Lundgren said in a statement.

Gap Inc., the biggest U.S. clothing retailer, said same- store sales fell 6 percent, more than double Retail Metrics LLC's estimate for a 2.4 percent decline. Abercrombie & Fitch Co. said comparable-store sales retreated 2 percent. Analysts estimated a 0.9 percent decline.

December sales may have gained at a pace slower than the council's 1.5 percent estimate as shoppers waiting for discounts spent less at the beginning of the month, Michael Niemira, the ICSC's chief economist, said last week.

A calendar shift moved a week of holiday sales into November from December, hurting last month's results and helping November post a 3.5 percent increase.
 

Wednesday, 09 January 2008

Countrywide: Lending stabilizes, foreclosures up

(Reuters) - Countrywide Financial Corp (CFC.N: Quote, Profile, Research), whose shares have tumbled on concern it might not survive the nation's housing crisis, said on Wednesday it made more loans than expected in the fourth quarter, though foreclosures among loans it services increased.

Shares of Countrywide rose 34 cents, or 6.2 percent, in pre-market trading to $5.81 from Tuesday's composite close, after earlier rising as much as 21 percent to $6.62.

In its monthly operating report, the largest U.S. mortgage lender said it funded $23.4 billion of home loans in December, up 1 percent from the prior month, though down 44 percent from $41.7 billion a year earlier. Average daily mortgage loan applications fell 17 percent from November to $1.54 billion.

"Management is pleased with the progress we have made in positioning the company to navigate the current challenging environment," Chief Operating Officer David Sambol said in a statement.

For the quarter, Countrywide said it funded $68.5 billion of mortgage loans, and $69.2 billion of total loans.
 

Li Ka-Shing Rushes Into China Where Bond Angels Fear

(Bloomberg) -- The bond market is telling Li Ka-shing, Asia's richest man, he's sitting on a Chinese property bubble that's bigger than the one deflating in the U.S.

Bonds of China's Agile Property Holdings Ltd. yield 7.17 percentage points more than U.S. Treasuries, double the premium in July and 1.79 percentage points more than the debt of Los Angeles-based KB Home, which has the same credit ratings. Agile, a housing developer in the southern province of Guangdong, and Country Garden Holdings Co., China's most-profitable builder, canceled debt sales in November when borrowing costs climbed.

As China's government attempts to cool property prices with limits on lending, developers are in a land grab. Li, who made his fortune in Hong Kong real estate, Chinese billionaire Xu Rongmao, who owns Shimao Property Holdings Ltd., and hundreds of local developers boosted investment 29 percent in the first eight months of 2007, the National Bureau of Statistics said.
 

MBIA Cuts Dividend, to Raise $1 Billion After Losses

(Bloomberg) - MBIA Inc., the world's largest bond insurer, sliced its dividend and will raise $1 billion in the sale of notes to boost capital and preserve its AAA credit rating.

The reduction of its quarterly payout to 13 cents a share from 34 cents will save $80 million a year, Armonk, New York- based MBIA said in a statement today.

Fitch Ratings, which gave MBIA until the end of the month to raise money, said the plan may be enough to stave off a downgrade. The loss of MBIA's AAA stamp would jeopardize ratings on $652 billion of bonds and threaten the company's ability to guarantee securities, a business that makes up about 90 percent of revenue. MBIA said today it will report losses of $737 million in the fourth quarter after a slump in the credit quality of the debt it insures.
 

Tuesday, 08 January 2008

Blu-ray scores victory

(Fin24) - The International Consumer Electronics Show is turning out to be a celebration party for Blu-ray, the high-definition format that Sony Corp backed, and a wake for a rival movie disc technology pushed by Toshiba Corp.


Just two months ago, Sony CEO Howard Stringer said the fight between Blu-ray and Toshiba's HD-DVD was at a "stalemate", and expressed a wish to travel back in time to avert it.


The impasse was broken on Friday by Warner Bros Entertainment, the last major studio to put out movies in both formats. It announced it was ditching HD-DVD, and from May on, would only publish on Blu-ray and traditional DVD.


The decision puts a strong majority of the major studios, five versus two, in the Blu-ray camp.


Asked on Monday at the show if the Warner announcement decides the format war, Stringer said: "I never put up banners that say 'Mission Accomplished."' But his cheerful delivery belied his words.


By contrast, the main media event scheduled for the show by the North American HD-DVD Promotional Group, which includes Intel and Microsoft, was cancelled because of Warner's defection.