Thursday, 21 February 2008

Allianz cuts jobs, structured finance at Dresdner

(Reuters) - Europe's biggest insurer, Allianz , is axing hundreds of jobs at its Dresdner Kleinwort investment bank and slashing its complex structured finance business, after suffering big fourth-quarter writedowns.

Allianz confirmed on Thursday it made a record net profit of nearly 8 billion euros ($11.79 billion) in 2007, despite the writedowns that pushed Dresdner into the red and halved the insurer's profit in the final three months of the year.

Allianz finance head Helmut Perlet said the market situation at the end of last month pointed to possible further writedowns of 300-400 million euros at Dresdner for the first quarter after about 1.5 billion euros of subprime writedowns in 2007.

Allianz unit Dresdner Bank, which in turn owns Dresdner Kleinwort, said it was shedding 450 jobs, most already axed, and cutting back on activity in structured investment vehicles (SIV) and other structured debt products, which spread the U.S. subprime loans crisis across the global banking system.

"Dresdner Bank will reduce its engagement in the SIV business, as the model of interest arbitrage faces a tough future," Allianz Chief Executive Michael Diekmann said.

Dresdner Bank said it would support its SIV, called K2, to ensure repayment of its senior debt, and had cut its size to $18.8 billion now from $31.2 billion in July.

Allianz said it was not clear whether, or to what extent, it might have to take K2 onto Dresdner's books, but it did not believe that supporting K2 would have a big impact on the group.
 

Dresdner Rescues $19 Billion SIV, Follows Citigroup

 (Bloomberg) -- Dresdner Bank AG, Germany's third- largest bank, agreed to rescue its $18.8 billion structured investment vehicle, joining Citigroup Inc. and HSBC Holdings Plc in bailing out funds crippled by the collapse of the subprime mortgage market.

Dresdner, a unit of Munich-based Allianz SE, will provide a credit line to enable the K2 fund to repay all of its senior debt, spokesman Ulrich Porwollik in Frankfurt said in a telephone interview. Dresdner will cut the size of the fund, which has been reduced from $31.2 billion since July, according to an e-mailed statement.

The bank is the last of the world's biggest financial institutions to put capital at risk salvaging a SIV from the seven-month freeze in credit markets. Banks including Citigroup, HSBC, Bank of Montreal and WestLB AG have disclosed plans to support their SIVs with $140 billion of assets.

``This is a potential threat to Dresdner Bank,'' said Thilo Mueller, managing director of MB Fund Advisory in Frankfurt. ``There is little liquidity for some of these assets and with comparative assets continuing to fall, you need to book further writedowns.''

SIVs, which use short-term borrowing to buy higher-yielding assets, have shrunk by $100 billion from $400 billion since August, according to Moody's Investors Service.

Exit Plan

``Allianz plans to exit K2 and the SIV business in general,'' Chief Financial Officer Helmut Perlet said today in an interview. ``The SIV business has no future.''

The fund, which Allianz expects will be wound down by year- end, is unlikely to cause a ``major negative hit'' if the assets are taken on to Dresdner's books because the company has the ``financial strength to sit out parts of the valuation declines,'' Perlet said.

Allianz's banking division, which is mostly Dresdner, wrote down more than 1.3 billion euros ($1.9 billion) on structured investment products, contributing to a 52 percent decline in fourth-quarter profit announced today. Europe's biggest insurer earned 665 million euros, missing the 729 million-euro median estimate of 12 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

Allianz, which has fallen 19 percent this year, rose 1.91 euros, or 1.61 percent, to 120.27 euros at 4:25 p.m. in Frankfurt trading.

No Subprime

K2, named after the world's second-highest mountain in the Himalayas, was started in 1999 by Paul Clarke and Alan Harley, who previously helped manage Europe's first SIVs at Citigroup.

The fund has no ``direct exposure'' to securities backed by subprime or midprime debt, the mortgages made to U.S. homeowners with poor or limited credit histories. K2 also doesn't contain collateralized debt obligations based on asset-backed notes, the statement said. CDOs are securities packaged from mortgage bonds and other assets.

One of the SIV's three portfolios has entered a ``restricted operating period,'' a rule designed to protect senior investors that prevents it making payments to lower- ranking bondholders. The credit line from Dresdner may enable K2 to end the restriction, K2 said in a separate statement today.

``Such an outcome, however, cannot be assured,'' the statement said. K2 didn't disclose the size of the portfolio.

SIV Defaults

The SIV bailouts avert the risk of forced sales of assets by the funds. Concern that fire sales by SIVs would further roil credit markets prompted U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to begin talks on setting up an $80 billion rescue fund last year. Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York and Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America Corp. abandoned the so- called SuperSIV after banks began rescuing their own funds, led by London-based HSBC.

More than $20 billion of SIVs have defaulted after being forced to start winding down since August, including funds set up by New York-based Ceres Capital Partners LLC and Cheyne Capital Management (UK) LLP in London.

Whistlejacket Capital Ltd., set up by Standard Chartered Plc, may default today after the company's receiver, Deloitte & Touche LLP, froze debts last week. The London-based bank abandoned a rescue plan for SIV yesterday, prompting Moody's to downgrade Whistlejacket's senior debt rating by three steps to B2, five levels below investment grade.

``It's a positive signal that Dresdner is willing to step in and support its SIV, but the story is far from resolved as we saw with Standard Chartered's Whistlejacket SIV,'' said Henry Tabe, an analyst at Moody's in London. Moody's rates K2's senior debt at Aaa.
 

Microsoft to Change Technology Practices in Bid to Appease EU

 (Bloomberg) -- Microsoft Corp., the world's biggest software maker, announced a series of changes in its technology and in how much information it gives developers about its products, in a bid to satisfy European regulators.
 

Philadelphia Fed February Factory Index Falls to -24

(Bloomberg) -- Manufacturing in the Philadelphia region unexpectedly contracted the most since February 2001, the eve of the last recession, as measures of new orders and shipments reflected weakening demand.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's general economic index declined to a minus 24 from minus 20.9 in January, the bank said today. Readings less than zero signal contraction. The Philadelphia Fed's general economic index averaged 5.1 in 2007.

A two-year housing slump, exacerbated by tighter credit conditions, is spilling over to other industries, pushing the economy to the brink of recession. The Fed, after cutting interest rates at the fastest pace since 1990 last month, has said it is ready to move in a ``timely'' manner to avert a downturn.

``The Philadelphia Fed survey is sending clear signals that the U.S. economy is heading for a recession,'' said Lena Komileva, chief economist at Tullett Prebon in London, who forecast a minus 25 reading. ``The speed and magnitude of the recent decline in the series signals a very sharp deterioration.''

Economists had forecast the Philadelphia manufacturing index would rise to minus 10.0, according to the median of 54 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. Projections ranged from 0 to minus 25.0.

New Orders

The Philadelphia Fed's measure of new orders rose to minus 10.9 from minus 15.2 the prior month, and a measure of shipments fell to minus 12.2 from minus 2.3 the prior month.

A gauge of unfilled orders dropped to minus 10.9 from minus 6.2, while the index of inventories declined to minus 13 from minus 11.7 the prior month.

The employment index gained to 2.5 from minus 1.5 a month earlier, the Philadelphia Fed said. An index of prices paid dropped to 46.6 from 49.8, while a gauge of prices received weakened to 24.3 from 32.

The report provides one of the month's earliest clues to the state of manufacturing nationwide. Similar data from the New York Fed released last week showed manufacturing contracted in the New York region in February for the first time in almost three years.

The Philadelphia Fed region, which comprises eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey and Delaware, is more vulnerable to the auto slump and less exposed to financial services and trade than the New York region, economists said.

Nationwide Measure

Nationwide, manufacturing grew in January after contracting in December by the most in almost five years, according to a Feb. 1 survey from the Institute for Supply Management. The ISM survey on manufacturing in February is due out March 3.

The index measuring the manufacturing outlook for six months from now fell to minus 16.9 from 5.2, today's report showed.

The Fed's January rate cuts came as rising subprime defaults led to a global tightening of credit standards and declines in equity prices. Investors are betting on a half-point rate reduction, to 2.5 percent, at the March 18 Fed meeting.

The U.S. economy will probably grow at a 0.5 percent pace in the first quarter and a 1 percent rate in the following three months, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists taken the first week of February. Economists surveyed said a recession this year was an even bet.